TSM technical analysis
TSM Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 5, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 4, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
TSM Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- TSM
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 4, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 417.17 | August 4, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 417.08 | August 4, 2026 | 0.02% | Verified |
Bottom line
TSM Technical Analysis Summary
TSM technical analysis shows a mixed daily trend within a strongly bullish weekly uptrend. The daily price at 417.17 has reclaimed the SMA20 at 412.08 after a pullback from the 52-week high, but remains below the SMA50 at 425.37. The daily MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.36 even though the MACD line at -6.84 is still below zero, suggesting downside momentum is easing. The weekly chart confirms a powerful long-term uptrend with all SMAs in bullish ascending order, though the weekly MACD histogram at -5.23 signals fading momentum. Key support rests at 372.72 (20-day low). Resistance stands at 447.69 (20-day high) and 479.00 (52-week high). A breakout above 447.69 would strengthen the bullish case toward the 52-week high.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 4, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 417.17 is above the SMA20 (412.08) and SMA200 (357.13) but below the SMA50 (425.37). The SMA20 sits below the SMA50 after the recent pullback, while the SMA50 remains well above the SMA200, keeping the longer-term golden cross intact.
- Momentum
- Neutral. RSI14 at 51.08 is at the midline, balanced. MACD at -6.84 is below the zero line and below the signal line at -7.20, with a positive histogram at 0.36 signaling that downside momentum is easing.
- Volatility
- Moderate to high. ATR14 at 17.98 (4.31% of price) reflects elevated daily ranges for a large-cap semiconductor stock. Bollinger Bands (381.38 to 442.79) are wide, with price near the middle of the range.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest daily volume of 12,339,502 is 82.5% of the 20-period average (14,950,670), indicating lighter participation in the recent rebound.
Assessment
The daily timeframe shows a mixed structure. Price has recovered above the SMA20 after the pullback from the 52-week high, and the MACD histogram has turned positive. However, price remains below the SMA50 and the MACD line is still below zero, so the short-term bias is neutral while the longer-term structure stays constructive.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 404.25 is above the SMA20 (398.62), SMA50 (339.68), and SMA200 (186.08). All weekly SMAs are in a bullish ascending order (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200), confirming a strong long-term uptrend.
- Momentum
- Neutral with caution. RSI14 at 56.04 is near the midline, balanced. MACD at 23.41 is above the zero line but below the signal line at 28.64, with the histogram at -5.23. The weekly MACD bearish crossover reflects fading momentum after the sustained rally.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 34.67 (8.58% of price) shows wide weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (328.32 to 468.92) are broad, with price in the lower half of the range.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 87,339,100 is 129.0% of the 20-week average (67,689,030).
Assessment
The weekly timeframe confirms a strongly bullish long-term trend with price above all key SMAs. The RSI at 56.04 is neutral. However, the bearish MACD crossover (MACD line below signal line) suggests momentum has softened, and the wide ATR reflects high volatility. The trend remains bullish but fading weekly momentum warrants monitoring for a potential consolidation phase.
Key indicators
TSM Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 51.08 | 56.04 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -6.84 / -7.20 / 0.36 | 23.41 / 28.64 / -5.23 |
| ATR (14) | 17.98 (4.31%) | 34.67 (8.58%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 381.38 - 442.79 | 328.32 - 468.92 |
| SMA (20) | 412.08 | 398.62 |
| SMA (50) | 425.37 | 339.68 |
| SMA (200) | 357.13 | 186.08 |
Price structure
TSM Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 417.17 | 404.25 |
| 1-Period Return | +2.72% | +0.21% |
| 5-Period Return | +6.34% | -6.50% |
| 20-Period Return | -3.56% | +20.11% |
| 60-Period Return | +0.97% | +99.93% |
| 252-Period Return | +79.32% | +291.49% |
| 52-Week Low | 221.25 | 221.25 |
| 52-Week High | 479.00 | 479.00 |
| 52-Week Position | 76.01% | 71.00% |
Key levels
TSM Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 447.69 | 479.00 |
| 20-Period Low | 372.72 | 313.07 |
| 60-Period High | 479.00 | 479.00 |
| 60-Period Low | 372.72 | 203.62 |
Scenarios
TSM Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above 447.69 (20-day high) with strong volume, targeting the 52-week high of 479.00.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 20-day low of 372.72.
What to watch
Sustained close above SMA50 (425.37) and the daily MACD line crossing above zero.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between 372.72 support and 447.69 resistance, with the MACD flattening near current levels.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 40 and 60 on daily; volume declining into the consolidation.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below 372.72 (20-day low) and fails to reclaim SMA20.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 (412.08) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA20; weekly MACD histogram turning further negative.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 4, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 4, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 5, 2026.
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