SPCX technical analysis
SPCX Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 5, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 4, 2026
Reliability
Degraded
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
SPCX Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- SPCX
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 4, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. The latest completed daily bar has a documented data-quality limitation, so interpret the indicators with additional caution.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 125.33 | August 4, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 125.33 | August 4, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
SPCX Technical Analysis Summary
SPCX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) listed in June 2026 and has only 36 completed daily bars, so SMA50, SMA200, weekly momentum indicators, and a 52-week range are not yet available. After opening near 150, the stock traded as high as 225.64 intraday in mid-June and then declined in a persistent downtrend into an August 3 low of 104.83. On August 4, SPCX rallied 9.43% to close at 125.33, back above SMA20 (125.31), on 1.70 times its 20-day average volume, and the daily MACD line moved above its signal line with a positive histogram of 2.59. RSI14 at 46.96 sits just below the neutral 50. The rebound is a constructive short-term signal, but price remains roughly 41% below the mid-June closing peak, and a durable repair would require a hold above SMA20 and a push through the 20-period high of 153.50. The 20-period low of 104.83 is the key downside reference.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 4, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed with a sharp short-term rebound. Price at 125.33 closed essentially at SMA20 (125.31), recovering strongly from the August 3 low of 104.83. SMA50 and SMA200 are not available because SPCX has only 36 completed daily bars since its June 2026 listing. The stock remains far below the mid-June high, so the longer-term structure is still corrective even though the August 4 advance reclaimed SMA20 on high volume.
- Momentum
- Neutral. RSI14 at 46.96 is just below the 50 midline after the August 4 rally, reflecting a mix of the recent bounce and the preceding decline. MACD line at -14.07 is above the signal line at -16.66 with a positive histogram of 2.59, indicating a recent bullish crossover, although the absolute readings are deeply negative because price is well below the June peak. The positive histogram is the first meaningful sign of short-term momentum repair.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 10.55 (8.42% of price) reflects very wide daily ranges, typical of a newly listed stock with high retail and institutional attention. Bollinger Bands (99.48 to 151.14) are wide around a middle of 125.31, and price sits near the middle band after the August 4 move. Volatility remains high enough to produce large swings in either direction.
- Volume
- Above average. The August 4 rally closed on 113.6 million shares, about 1.70 times the 20-day average of 66.7 million. The volume expansion on the up day supports the rebound, though one session is not enough to confirm a sustained change in participation.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a high-volume bounce from the August 3 low after a steep post-listing decline. Price reclaimed SMA20, the MACD histogram turned positive, and RSI moved back toward 50, all short-term improvements. However, the stock is still about 41% below its mid-June closing peak, and SMA50 and SMA200 cannot be calculated with the available history. A durable recovery would need price to hold SMA20 (125.31) and clear the 20-period high of 153.50. Below that, a break of the 20-period low at 104.83 would put the recent low back in play. The limited data window means all readings should be treated with caution.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Downward structure with limited data. Only 8 completed weekly bars are available, so weekly SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 cannot be computed. The stock printed declining weekly closes through the week of July 27, ending at 108.37, and remains far below the levels seen in the first weeks after listing. The series of lower weekly closes is consistent with a downtrend, but it is based on a very short window.
- Momentum
- Not available. RSI14 and MACD require at least 14 and 26 weekly bars respectively, and SPCX has only 8 completed weekly bars. Weekly momentum can become meaningful only after more trading history accumulates.
- Volatility
- Not reliably measurable. Wilder ATR14 and Bollinger Bands require 14 and 20 weekly bars respectively, which SPCX does not have. Early post-listing weekly ranges were very wide, but no statistical volatility measure is computable yet.
- Volume
- Below average on an indicative basis. The week of July 27 traded 315.1 million shares, about 0.66 times the available baseline average of 473.9 million. The comparison is only indicative because the baseline is computed from a short weekly history.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe is still in price discovery. SPCX listed in June 2026, spiked in the first sessions, and has since closed lower in successive weeks through the week of July 27. Standard weekly indicators are not yet available, so the most useful references are the sequence of declining weekly closes and the trading range built since listing. The August 4 daily rally is not part of the completed weekly series, which ends at the July 27 week close of 108.37. Weekly analysis will become more reliable as more weekly bars form.
Key indicators
SPCX Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 46.96 | N/A (insufficient data) |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -14.07 / -16.66 / 2.59 | N/A (insufficient data) |
| ATR (14) | 10.55 (8.42%) | N/A (insufficient data) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 99.48 - 151.14 | N/A (insufficient data) |
| SMA (20) | 125.31 | N/A (insufficient data) |
| SMA (50) | N/A (insufficient data) | N/A (insufficient data) |
| SMA (200) | N/A (insufficient data) | N/A (insufficient data) |
Price structure
SPCX Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 125.33 | 108.37 |
| 1-Period Return | +9.43% | -5.82% |
| 5-Period Return | +7.66% | -29.28% |
| 20-Period Return | -16.15% | N/A (insufficient data) |
| 60-Period Return | N/A (insufficient data) | N/A (insufficient data) |
| 252-Period Return | N/A (insufficient data) | N/A (insufficient data) |
| 52-Week Low | N/A (listed June 2026) | N/A (listed June 2026) |
| 52-Week High | N/A (listed June 2026) | N/A (listed June 2026) |
| 52-Week Position | N/A (listed June 2026) | N/A (listed June 2026) |
Key levels
SPCX Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 153.50 | N/A (insufficient data) |
| 20-Period Low | 104.83 | N/A (insufficient data) |
| 60-Period High | N/A (insufficient data) | N/A (insufficient data) |
| 60-Period Low | N/A (insufficient data) | N/A (insufficient data) |
Scenarios
SPCX Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price holds above SMA20 (125.31) and closes above the 20-period high of 153.50 on above-average volume, extending the August 4 rebound.
Invalidation
Price falls back below the 20-period low of 104.83.
What to watch
Daily RSI reclaiming 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; volume staying above the 20-day average on up days; follow-through after the August 4 move.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between support at 104.83 and resistance at 153.50 while the market digests the post-listing decline.
Invalidation
A decisive close below 104.83 or above 153.50 with expanding volume.
What to watch
RSI moving around 50; volume returning toward the 20-day average; price building a base after the steep drawdown.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold SMA20 (125.31) and breaks below the 20-period low of 104.83, extending the decline from the June peak.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (125.31) with a higher low above 104.83.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 40; MACD histogram turning negative; volume expanding on down days; renewed selling pressure after the bounce.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 4, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar has a documented data-quality limitation. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. SPCX has a limited public trading history since its June 2026 listing, which reduces the reliability of indicators that require longer lookbacks. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 4, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 5, 2026.
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