NVS technical analysis
NVS Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 5, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 4, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
NVS Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- NVS
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 4, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 153.27 | August 4, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 153.27 | August 4, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
NVS Technical Analysis Summary
NVS shows a corrective daily trend within a firmly bullish weekly uptrend. The daily price at 153.27 sits above the SMA50 at 152.65 and the SMA200 at 144.43 but below the SMA20 at 154.44, reflecting a short-term pullback after the late-July peak near 160.34. The daily RSI at 47.56 is just below the neutral 50 level, and the daily MACD line at 0.79 sits below its signal line at 0.98 with a slightly negative histogram at -0.19, pointing to a brief loss of upside momentum rather than a breakdown. On the weekly chart the uptrend remains intact, with price at 156.15 holding above the SMA20 at 151.31 and all weekly SMAs in bullish order, while the weekly RSI at 58.27 has cooled from overbought levels. Near-term support rests at 149.33 (20-day low), with a deeper floor at the SMA200 at 144.43 and the 60-day low at 142.26. Resistance sits at 154.44 (SMA20) and 160.34 (20-day high), with the 52-week high at 165.43 beyond. A daily close back above the SMA20 at 154.44 would be the first sign that the pullback is losing force.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 4, 2026)
- Trend
- Slightly corrective within an uptrend. Price at 153.27 is below the SMA20 at 154.44 but above the SMA50 at 152.65 and the SMA200 at 144.43. The SMA20 remains above the SMA50 and the SMA200, so the bullish moving average stack is intact even though price is probing below the SMA20 after the late-July peak near 160.34.
- Momentum
- Slightly negative. RSI14 at 47.56 is marginally below the 50 midline, indicating mild bearish momentum. MACD at 0.79 remains positive but below the signal line at 0.98, and the histogram at -0.19 has turned slightly negative, reflecting a short-term loss of upside momentum that is not yet a strong bearish signal.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 3.24 (2.12% of price) reflects typical daily ranges for a large-cap pharmaceutical ADR. Bollinger Bands (149.22 to 159.67) show price trading in the lower half of the range, just below the middle band at 154.44.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest daily volume of 1,651,503 is 92.4% of the 20-period average (1,788,305), indicating reduced participation during the pullback.
Assessment
The daily timeframe shows a short-term pullback within a longer uptrend. Price has slipped below the SMA20 and is now testing the SMA50 at 152.65, while RSI sits just below 50 and the MACD histogram is marginally negative. A hold above the SMA50 would keep the correction shallow, while a close back above the SMA20 at 154.44 would signal that the pullback is losing force.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 156.15 is above the SMA20 at 151.31, the SMA50 at 141.00, and the SMA200 at 105.70. All weekly SMAs remain in a bullish ascending order, confirming the long-term uptrend is intact despite the recent weekly pullback from the 160.57 area.
- Momentum
- Neutral with a mildly positive bias. RSI14 at 58.27 has cooled from overbought levels and sits above the 50 midline. MACD at 3.83 remains well above the zero line but below the signal line at 4.16, with a slightly negative histogram at -0.33, reflecting the ongoing consolidation of a strong advance.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 6.69 (4.28% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for a large-cap pharmaceutical ADR. Bollinger Bands (143.35 to 159.27) are reasonably wide, with price trading in the upper half of the band range.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 8,569,800 is 102.1% of the 20-week average (8,397,500), indicating steady participation.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe confirms a healthy long-term uptrend with all key SMAs in bullish alignment. The RSI at 58.27 has reset from overbought territory, and price remains above the SMA20 at 151.31 after a shallow pullback. The weekly trend stays bullish as long as price holds above the SMA50 at 141.00.
Key indicators
NVS Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 47.56 | 58.27 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.79 / 0.98 / -0.19 | 3.83 / 4.16 / -0.33 |
| ATR (14) | 3.24 (2.12%) | 6.69 (4.28%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 149.22 - 159.67 | 143.35 - 159.27 |
| SMA (20) | 154.44 | 151.31 |
| SMA (50) | 152.65 | 141.00 |
| SMA (200) | 144.43 | 105.70 |
Price structure
NVS Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 153.27 | 156.15 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.26% | +0.74% |
| 5-Period Return | -4.12% | +0.48% |
| 20-Period Return | -2.39% | +1.77% |
| 60-Period Return | +5.42% | +36.34% |
| 252-Period Return | +36.98% | +129.60% |
| 52-Week Low | 110.13 | 110.13 |
| 52-Week High | 165.43 | 165.43 |
| 52-Week Position | 78.02% | 83.23% |
Key levels
NVS Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 160.34 | 160.57 |
| 20-Period Low | 149.33 | 142.25 |
| 60-Period High | 160.57 | 165.43 |
| 60-Period Low | 142.26 | 109.02 |
Scenarios
NVS Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price closes back above the SMA20 at 154.44 with above-average volume, followed by a move toward the 20-day high at 160.34 and eventually the 52-week high at 165.43.
Invalidation
Price closes below the 20-day low of 149.33.
What to watch
Daily RSI reclaiming and holding the 50 midline; MACD histogram turning positive on both timeframes.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between support at the SMA50 area of 152.65 and resistance at the SMA20 of 154.44, with the MACD line tracking near its signal line.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 40 and 60; volume staying below average, suggesting consolidation rather than distribution.
Bearish
Trigger
Price closes below the 20-day low at 149.33 and fails to hold the SMA50, opening the path toward the 60-day low at 142.26 and the SMA200 at 144.43.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above the SMA50 at 152.65.
What to watch
Sustained closes below the SMA50 (152.65); weekly MACD histogram turning more negative.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 4, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 4, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 5, 2026.
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