MFG technical analysis
MFG Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MFG Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- MFG
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 10.70 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 10.70 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MFG Technical Analysis Summary
MFG (Mizuho Financial Group) is in a strong uptrend on both daily and weekly timeframes, trading near its 52-week high. On the daily chart, price at 10.70 is above SMA20 (10.36), SMA50 (9.93), and SMA200 (8.46), with a bullish moving-average stack. RSI14 at 59.14 is positive but not overbought, while the MACD histogram is slightly negative, suggesting short-term momentum is pausing after a strong run. On the weekly chart, price at 10.44 is above all major averages, RSI14 at 62.42 is bullish, and the MACD histogram is positive, confirming the longer-term trend. MFG is up roughly 80% over the past year and sits at a 52-week position of 96.75% on the daily chart. Key resistance is at the 52-week high of 10.86, while support lies near SMA20 at 10.36 and the 20-day low at 9.70. The outlook stays bullish as long as MFG holds above its rising SMA20 and SMA50.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 10.70 is above SMA20 (10.36, +3.29%), SMA50 (9.93, +7.77%), and SMA200 (8.46, +26.46%). SMA20 is above SMA50 and SMA200, forming a bullish moving-average configuration, with all three averages sloping upward.
- Momentum
- Positive but cooling. RSI14 at 59.14 is above the 50 midline, indicating a constructive bias without overbought conditions. The MACD line at 0.14 is just below the signal line at 0.15 with a slightly negative histogram, reflecting a brief consolidation in momentum after the recent advance.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.30 (2.76% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2.76%. Bollinger Bands (9.84 to 10.88) show price in the upper half of the bands, consistent with a strong short-term move. Band width is moderate, reflecting steady volatility.
- Volume
- Slightly above average. Latest volume of 4,506,300 is 104.9% of the 20-period average (4,295,635), indicating healthy participation during the recent advance.
Assessment
The daily chart is strongly bullish. MFG trades above all major moving averages with a bullish stack, and price has advanced roughly 80% over the past year to reach the upper end of its 52-week range. The stock recently tested the 52-week high at 10.86 and is consolidating just below it. The slightly negative MACD histogram points to a short-term pause, but the trend remains intact as long as price holds above the rising SMA20 at 10.36. A break above 10.86 on volume would confirm the next leg higher.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Strongly bullish. Price at 10.44 is above SMA20 (9.18), SMA50 (8.14), and SMA200 (4.89), with a fully bullish moving-average configuration. The long-term uptrend is well established, and the wide gap above SMA200 confirms sustained multi-year trend strength.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 62.42 is above the 50 midline and moving closer to overbought territory. The MACD line at 0.67 is above the signal line at 0.59 with a positive histogram, confirming sustained bullish momentum on the weekly timeframe.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.69 (6.62% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (7.35 to 11.02) show price in the upper half of the range, consistent with the ongoing uptrend.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 23,897,800 is 119.2% of the 20-week average (20,055,130), showing strong participation in the advance.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms a strong multi-year uptrend. MFG has rallied roughly 295% over the past five years and trades near its 52-week high. RSI and MACD both support the trend, and above-average volume confirms participation. The main risk is extension, with price well above SMA20 and weekly RSI at 62. A pullback toward the SMA20 zone near 9.18 would be healthy within the larger uptrend, while a weekly close below SMA20 would be the first sign of trend deterioration.
Key indicators
MFG Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 59.14 | 62.42 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.14 / 0.15 / -0.01 | 0.67 / 0.59 / 0.08 |
| ATR (14) | 0.30 (2.76%) | 0.69 (6.62%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 9.84 - 10.88 | 7.35 - 11.02 |
| SMA (20) | 10.36 | 9.18 |
| SMA (50) | 9.93 | 8.14 |
| SMA (200) | 8.46 | 4.89 |
Price structure
MFG Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 10.70 | 10.44 |
| 1-Period Return | +3.48% | -1.79% |
| 5-Period Return | +9.07% | +7.52% |
| 20-Period Return | +4.59% | +36.83% |
| 60-Period Return | +23.13% | +87.43% |
| 252-Period Return | +80.44% | +295.01% |
| 52-Week Low | 5.93 | 5.84 |
| 52-Week High | 10.86 | 10.79 |
| 52-Week Position | 96.75% | 92.93% |
Key levels
MFG Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 10.86 | 10.79 |
| 20-Period Low | 9.70 | 7.54 |
| 60-Period High | 10.86 | 10.79 |
| 60-Period Low | 8.32 | 5.35 |
Scenarios
MFG Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks and holds above the 52-week high at 10.86 on increased volume, confirming the next leg of the uptrend.
Invalidation
Price closes back below the rising SMA20 at 10.36 and the 20-day low at 9.70 on above-average volume.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; the daily MACD histogram turning positive again; volume expanding on the breakout; price making higher lows above SMA20.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price consolidates between support near SMA20 at 10.36 and the 20-day low at 9.70, and resistance at the 52-week high of 10.86.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 10.86 with strong volume, or a breakdown below 9.70 with increasing selling pressure.
What to watch
RSI oscillating between 50 and 65; Bollinger Bands narrowing; volume fading during the consolidation; SMA20 flattening.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below SMA20 (10.36) and the 20-day low at 9.70, with a weekly close below SMA20 (9.18) signaling trend deterioration.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above 10.36 and establishes a higher low above 9.70.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; the MACD histogram becoming more negative; volume rising on down days; price making lower lows below 9.70.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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