BABA technical analysis

BABA Technical Analysis

Analysis date

August 6, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

August 5, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

BABA Data Verification

Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.

Symbol
BABA
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
August 5, 2026

Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.

Validation seriesLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Calculation series128.53August 5, 2026-Verified
Verification series128.53August 5, 20260.00%Verified

Bottom line

BABA Technical Analysis Summary

BABA (Alibaba Group Holding Limited) has staged a sharp multi-day rebound at the August 5, 2026 cutoff. The daily close of 128.53 is above SMA20 at 117.40 and SMA50 at 113.58 but remains below SMA200 at 139.43. Daily RSI14 at 70.09 sits at the overbought threshold and the MACD histogram is positive at 1.72, confirming strengthening short-term momentum. The completed weekly close of 122.25 is above the weekly SMA20 at 120.46 and well above the weekly SMA200 at 101.28, though it stays below the weekly SMA50 at 141.06. Immediate resistance is the 130.99 20-day high, followed by the 145.53 60-day high. Support sits at SMA20 at 117.40, the 108.85 20-day low, and the 91.99 52-week low further down. The stock has recovered from the 91.99 low but needs above-average volume to confirm a breakout beyond 130.99.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (August 5, 2026)

Trend
Mixed. Price at 128.53 is above SMA20 (117.40) and SMA50 (113.58) but remains below SMA200 (139.43). The sharp advance has pushed price above the short-term averages while the 200-day average still caps the longer-term view. Short-term structure is improving, but the daily trend is not yet fully bullish.
Momentum
Strong but extended. RSI14 at 70.09 is at the conventional overbought threshold. MACD (3.89) is above its signal (2.17) with a positive histogram at 1.72, confirming improving momentum. The stretched reading points to some near-term consolidation risk after the strong run.
Volatility
Elevated. ATR14 at 3.97 is 3.09% of price, reflecting the sharp daily swings of the recent rally. Bollinger Bands (106.74 to 128.06) are wide, and the close of 128.53 sits just above the upper band, indicating price is stretched relative to the recent 20-day range.
Volume
Slightly below average. Latest volume of 9,530,600 is about 86% of the 20-period average of 11,022,985. The strong rally has not been confirmed by a clear increase in participation.

Assessment

The daily timeframe shows a strong short-term rebound. Price has reclaimed SMA20 and SMA50 and MACD confirms positive momentum. However, RSI at the overbought threshold, the close above the upper Bollinger Band, and below-average volume mean the advance looks extended in the very near term. A break above the 20-day high of 130.99 on rising volume would extend the recovery, while a close back below SMA20 at 117.40 would suggest the bounce has stalled.

Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)

Trend
Improving but mixed. The completed weekly close of 122.25 is above SMA20 (120.46) and SMA200 (101.28) but below SMA50 (141.06). The stock has moved back above its 20-week and 200-week averages after the rebound, though it remains far below the 52-week high of 190.92.
Momentum
Neutral. RSI14 at 48.61 is just below the neutral 50 level. MACD (-8.01) is above its signal (-8.34) with a small positive histogram at 0.33, showing downside momentum has faded while upside confirmation is not yet established.
Volatility
Elevated. ATR14 at 11.69 is 9.56% of price, reflecting wide weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (96.42 to 144.50) are wide, with the close in the middle of the band range.
Volume
Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 49,677,600 is about 86% of the 20-week average of 57,665,390, indicating normal participation.

Assessment

The weekly timeframe is improving but not confirmed. The completed week closed above its 20-week average after the rebound, with the 200-week average at 101.28 now acting as a higher support base. Yet RSI remains below 50 and the MACD is still negative, so the longer-term downtrend has not been fully reversed. A weekly close above the 20-week high of 145.53 would be a meaningful signal, while losing SMA20 at 120.46 would put the recent gains at risk.

Key indicators

BABA Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)70.0948.61
MACD (12, 26, 9)3.89 / 2.17 / 1.72-8.01 / -8.34 / 0.33
ATR (14)3.97 (3.09%)11.69 (9.56%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)106.74 - 128.0696.42 - 144.50
SMA (20)117.40120.46
SMA (50)113.58141.06
SMA (200)139.43101.28

Price structure

BABA Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price128.53122.25
1-Period Return-0.36%+9.02%
5-Period Return+11.74%+28.94%
20-Period Return+17.94%-8.75%
60-Period Return-7.39%+5.09%
252-Period Return+10.39%-9.91%
52-Week Low91.9991.99
52-Week High190.92190.92
52-Week Position36.94%30.59%

Key levels

BABA Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High130.99145.53
20-Period Low108.8591.99
60-Period High145.53190.92
60-Period Low91.9991.99

Scenarios

BABA Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks above the 20-day high of 130.99 with above-average volume, targeting the 60-day high of 145.53.

Invalidation

Price closes back below SMA20 at 117.40.

What to watch

Daily RSI holding above 60, the MACD histogram continuing to expand, and volume confirming the breakout.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price consolidates between SMA20 support at 117.40 and the 20-day high resistance at 130.99.

Invalidation

A decisive break above 130.99 or below 117.40 with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 40 and 65, the MACD histogram near zero, and volume near the 20-day average.

Bearish

Trigger

Price closes below SMA20 at 117.40 and breaks the 20-day low at 108.85, opening a path toward the 91.99 60-day low.

Invalidation

Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 at 117.40.

What to watch

RSI falling below 50, the MACD histogram turning negative, and volume expanding on down days.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.