ARM technical analysis
ARM Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ARM Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- ARM
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 274.58 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 274.58 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ARM Technical Analysis Summary
ARM has swung from a 452.70 peak in mid-June to about 220 in late July, and the early-August rebound has lifted the stock back to 274.58, just above the SMA20 at 271.74 but still well below the SMA50 at 323.30. The daily RSI at 48.31 has recovered toward the midline, and the daily MACD histogram has turned positive at +2.07, an early sign that selling pressure is easing. The weekly chart remains below its SMA20 at 258.63 with the weekly MACD histogram at -8.88 still negative, though the weekly SMA50 at 183.51 holds. Key support sits at 219.39 (20-day low) and then 200.89 (60-day low). Resistance is at the SMA50 at 323.30 and then 339.44 (20-day high). A close above the SMA50 would signal that the recovery is gaining traction, while a break below 219.39 would resume the downtrend.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 274.58 is just above the SMA20 at 271.74 but below the SMA50 at 323.30, while remaining well above the SMA200 at 191.30. The SMA20 sits below the SMA50, keeping short-term alignment bearish, but the SMA50 remains well above the SMA200, preserving the long-term uptrend structure.
- Momentum
- Neutral. RSI14 at 48.31 sits near the 50 midline, having recovered from the oversold readings of late July. MACD at -16.81 is below the zero line but has turned up above the signal line at -18.88, with a positive histogram of +2.07, an early signal that downside momentum is easing.
- Volatility
- High. ATR14 at 26.43 (9.62% of price) reflects wide daily ranges following the extreme June to July volatility. Bollinger Bands run from 219.65 to 323.83, and the close at 274.58 sits near the middle band at 271.74.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 4,426,900 is about 69% of the 20-day average (6,385,495), showing reduced participation on the recent rebound.
Assessment
The daily chart shows price stabilizing just above the SMA20 after a sharp late-June to late-July decline from 452.70 to about 220. The RSI at 48.31 has recovered toward the midline and the MACD histogram has turned positive, an early sign that selling pressure is easing. Price remains well below the SMA50 at 323.30, so the rebound is not yet confirmed as a trend reversal. Holding above the SMA20 at 271.74 keeps the recovery alive; a move back below it would put the 20-day low at 219.39 in focus.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Neutral-to-bearish. Price at 239.69 is below the SMA20 at 258.63 but above the SMA50 at 183.51. The weekly SMA20 remains above the SMA50, reflecting that the recent decline has not yet broken the longer-term uptrend, but price has dropped below its short-term average. The weekly SMA200 is not available because the weekly series contains only 151 completed bars since the September 2023 listing.
- Momentum
- Neutral. RSI14 at 49.32 sits near the 50 midline, retracing from the extremes of the June rally. MACD at 36.52 remains above the zero line but below the signal line at 45.40, with a negative histogram of -8.88, indicating that upside momentum has cooled significantly.
- Volatility
- High. ATR14 at 50.13 (20.92% of price) reflects extreme weekly ranges, consistent with a stock that moved from about 100 to 452 and back down within the past year. Bollinger Bands run from 86.35 to 430.90.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 40,353,400 is about 85% of the 20-week average (47,429,675).
Assessment
The weekly chart shows the aftermath of an extraordinary rally and reversal. ARM ran from around 100 to a 452.70 peak in mid-June, then fell sharply through July, leaving the weekly close of 239.69 below the weekly SMA20. The RSI at 49.32 has retraced to the midline and the weekly MACD histogram remains negative, showing that longer-term momentum has cooled. The structure stays above the weekly SMA50 at 183.51. The weekly series ends with the week of July 27 and does not include the early-August daily rebound, so the weekly outlook improves only if the daily recovery carries price back above the weekly SMA20 at 258.63.
Key indicators
ARM Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.31 | 49.32 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -16.81 / -18.88 / +2.07 | 36.52 / 45.40 / -8.88 |
| ATR (14) | 26.43 (9.62%) | 50.13 (20.92%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 219.65 - 323.83 | 86.35 - 430.90 |
| SMA (20) | 271.74 | 258.63 |
| SMA (50) | 323.30 | 183.51 |
| SMA (200) | 191.30 | N/A |
Price structure
ARM Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 274.58 | 239.69 |
| 1-Period Return | -2.13% | -7.82% |
| 5-Period Return | +22.10% | -28.29% |
| 20-Period Return | -8.55% | +107.08% |
| 60-Period Return | +28.75% | +80.07% |
| 252-Period Return | +96.06% | N/A |
| 52-Week Low | 100.02 | 100.02 |
| 52-Week High | 452.70 | 452.70 |
| 52-Week Position | 49.50% | 39.60% |
Key levels
ARM Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 339.44 | 452.70 |
| 20-Period Low | 219.39 | 118.38 |
| 60-Period High | 452.70 | 452.70 |
| 60-Period Low | 200.89 | 100.02 |
Scenarios
ARM Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price holds above the SMA20 at 271.74 and reclaims the SMA50 at 323.30 on rising volume, opening a path toward the 20-day high at 339.44.
Invalidation
A close back below the 20-day low at 219.39.
What to watch
Daily MACD histogram staying positive; RSI holding above 50; the weekly price recovering above the weekly SMA20 at 258.63.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price consolidates between 219.39 (20-day low) and 339.44 (20-day high) while the MACD hovers near the zero line.
Invalidation
A decisive close beyond either boundary.
What to watch
RSI staying between 40 and 60 on the daily chart; volume returning toward the 20-day average; price holding above the SMA20 at 271.74.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below 219.39 (20-day low) and heads toward the 60-day low at 200.89, with the weekly RSI turning down from the midline.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 at 271.74 and holds above it.
What to watch
The daily MACD histogram turning negative again; sustained closes below the 20-day low; the weekly MACD histogram making new lows.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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