América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. research snapshot
AMX AI stock analysis currently reads América Móvil as a large Latin American connectivity operator with recurring mobile, fixed-line, broadband, pay TV, and enterprise revenue, network scale, and material debt. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, the latest verified close was $25.35 from July 31, 2026, market capitalization was about $76.41 billion, and the trailing PE was about 14.91 with a forward PE near 11.05. The Q2 2026 report showed revenue up 3.1% in peso terms to MXN 241 billion, EBITDA up 3.8%, and net income up 9.2% to about MXN 24 billion, equal to about $0.47 per ADR, while management kept full-year capex near $7 billion and a net debt to EBITDA target of 1.2 to 1.5 times. This page uses scenarios rather than a certain price prediction and is for informational purposes, not investment advice.
Current price
$25.35
Market cap
$76.41 billion
AI score
68 / 100
Rating
Cash-generative Latin American telecom with improving operating momentum and currency and competition risk
Trend status
Neutral pullback within a longer uptrend, price above the 200-day average but below the 50-day average
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | América Móvil earns recurring revenue from mobile, fixed-line, broadband, pay TV, enterprise connectivity, data, and hosting services across Latin America, with Q2 2026 revenue of MXN 241 billion and net income of about MXN 24 billion. | High |
| Moat | Scale, spectrum and network assets, the Telcel and Claro brands, distribution, bundled services, and customer switching friction support the franchise, though regulation limits pricing freedom. | Medium-high |
| Management | The Slim family retains control, which aligns economic ownership with long-term outcomes but creates key-person and minority-governance considerations. Q2 2026 delivered 3.5 million postpaid additions, 531,000 broadband additions, and net income up 9.2%. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was MXN 943.64 billion, up 8.56%. TTM revenue was about $54.70 billion and TTM free cash flow about $9.88 billion in the latest third-party snapshot. | High |
| Valuation | At $25.35, the ADR-equivalent inputs calculate to about 14.91x trailing earnings, 7.73x free cash flow, 1.40x sales, and a 2.34% dividend yield, with a forward PE near 11.05. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The July 31, 2026 snapshot was neutral to soft: price closed at $25.35, below the 50-day average of $26.00, above the 200-day average of $24.05, with RSI near 41.34. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is moderate-high because net debt, foreign-exchange translation, promotional competition in Brazil, regulatory fines, and network capex can change equity value quickly. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for the source-backed business mapping, current market snapshot, and mechanical valuation checks. Lower for multiple expansion and forward returns. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. The business has durable demand and improving momentum, but an investment outcome also depends on currency, debt, competition, regulation, and entry valuation. | Medium-low |
AMX AI stock forecast
The AMX AI stock forecast uses a three-year scenario model around the $25.35 July 31, 2026 close. Financial-rigor calculations using ADR-equivalent TTM EPS of about $1.70 produced approximate target values of $40.7 in the bullish case, $25.6 in the base case, and $15.3 in the bearish case. These are planning scenarios, not price promises.
$37 to $44
More likely if service revenue and EBITDA keep growing near recent rates, net income continues to expand, free cash flow stays durable after capex, net debt stays inside the 1.2 to 1.5 times target, Brazilian competition stabilizes, and currencies hold steady.
$23 to $29
More likely if revenue growth remains steady, cash generation covers investment and shareholder returns, leverage stays near target, and investors continue to value AMX as a mature telecom rather than a high-growth company.
$13 to $18
More likely if currency weakness, aggressive Brazilian promotions, regulation or fines, higher financing costs, or heavier capex reduce free cash flow and price loses long-term trend support.
AMX AI technical analysis
AMX AI technical analysis starts from the $25.35 July 31, 2026 close. StockAnalysis.com and Barchart placed the 50-day moving average at $26.00, the 200-day moving average at $24.05, the 100-day near $25.85, RSI at 41.34, and the 52-week range at $17.90 to $28.46. These levels are dated and should be refreshed with live chart data before a trade.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $25.35 | Latest verified close in the source snapshot, dated July 31, 2026. |
| Near support | $24.00 to $24.10 | A nearby planning zone around the 200-day average. It is not a guaranteed floor. |
| Outer support | $17.90 | The cited 52-week low. A move toward it would mark a major trend change. |
| Near resistance | $25.90 to $26.00 | The cited 20-day and 50-day moving averages form a nearby resistance cluster. |
| Key resistance | $28.46 | The cited 52-week high. A decisive break with volume would improve momentum evidence. |
| 50-day moving average | $26.00 | StockAnalysis and Barchart snapshot as of July 31, 2026. Refresh before acting. |
| 200-day moving average | $24.05 | StockAnalysis and Barchart snapshot as of July 31, 2026. Refresh before acting. |
| Momentum | RSI 41.34 | A soft but not oversold reading in the cited snapshot, not an independent buy or sell signal. |
| Volume | 1.6 to 1.7 million 20-day average | The cited average volume is useful for judging whether a breakout or breakdown has broad participation. |
| Volatility | 5-year beta 0.22 | The cited beta was low, but ADR and currency moves can still create event-driven gaps around earnings. |
| Invalidation | Sustained close below $24.05 | This would break the cited 200-day trend reference and requires a new thesis review. |
AMX AI trading strategy
The AMX AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized advice. Pair any setup with position sizing, a predefined loss limit, live market data, and the next earnings or operating update.
Wait for AMX to reclaim the 50-day average near $26.00 and to break the $26 to $28.46 resistance area with volume that is meaningfully above its recent average.
Invalidate the setup if price falls back below the 50-day area or closes persistently below the 200-day moving average near $24.05.
If AMX tests the $24.00 to $24.10 support area without a deterioration in free cash flow, debt, Brazilian competition, or currency evidence, compare the setup with the next filing and peer pricing data.
Do not average down without a maximum loss, a new review of leverage and currency, and a clear reason the business thesis remains intact.
Track service revenue, EBITDA, net income, free cash flow after capex, net debt to EBITDA, mobile postpaid and broadband additions, Brazilian pricing, local-currency performance, and regulatory actions.
Reduce confidence when a price move is not matched by cash-flow evidence or when currency translation obscures operating progress.
Investment research summary
América Móvil sells essential mobile and fixed connectivity, broadband, entertainment, and enterprise services that customers generally pay for on a recurring basis across Latin America and other markets.
Network scale, spectrum, established brands such as Telcel and Claro, distribution, bundled products, and customer switching friction provide advantages, although the regulated telecom market constrains pricing power.
The thesis can fail if leverage rises relative to cash flow, currencies weaken, Brazilian promotions intensify, regulation or fines reduce returns, or capex expands faster than service revenue.
The controlling Slim family creates long-term owner alignment, while investors should independently assess minority protections, succession, capital allocation, and the returns on network investment.
Mobile data, 5G, fiber broadband, cloud connectivity, and enterprise digitization support demand, but the sector remains capital intensive and often faces price-sensitive competition in key markets such as Brazil.
The current multiple is lower than many growth stocks, yet safety depends on free cash flow after capex, net debt, currency translation, and the durability of regulated returns in competitive markets.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMX ADR price | $25.35 at the July 31, 2026 close | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote | August 2, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $76.41 billion reported, verified as $25.35 x 3.00 billion ADR-equivalent shares, a 0.39% deviation | StockAnalysis.com market cap and Pineify financial_rigor.py verification | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM revenue and net income | TTM revenue of about $54.70 billion, up 3.2%, and TTM net income of about $5.13 billion | StockAnalysis.com statistics via S&P Global Market Intelligence | August 2, 2026 |
| Revenue cross-check | Macrotrends FY2025 revenue of $52.521 billion versus StockAnalysis TTM revenue of $54.70 billion, a 2.03% deviation around the median driven by period differences | Macrotrends and StockAnalysis.com, verified with Pineify financial_rigor.py | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | MXN 943.64 billion, up 8.56% from MXN 869.22 billion | StockAnalysis.com financial statements, reported in MXN | August 2, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 results | Revenue of MXN 241 billion, up 3.1%, EBITDA up 3.8%, and net income of about MXN 24 billion, up 9.2%, equal to about $0.47 per ADR | Q2 2026 earnings call highlights via MarketBeat | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 growth at constant exchange rates | Service revenue grew 5.1% and EBITDA grew 5.3%, or 6.7% excluding a one-off charge in Mexico | Q2 2026 earnings call via MarketBeat | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 customer additions | 3.5 million postpaid additions led by Brazil with 1.5 million, 531,000 fixed broadband additions, and 110,000 pay TV additions | Q2 2026 earnings call via MarketBeat | July 22, 2026 |
| TTM free cash flow | Operating cash flow of about $16.37 billion, capital expenditures of about $6.49 billion, and free cash flow of about $9.88 billion | StockAnalysis.com statistics via S&P Global Market Intelligence | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 cash flow | Operating cash flow of MXN 272.4 billion, capital expenditures of MXN 114.4 billion, and free cash flow of MXN 158.0 billion | StockAnalysis.com cash flow statement | August 2, 2026 |
| Balance sheet | Cash of about $4.33 billion, total debt of about $39.56 billion, and net cash of about -$35.24 billion in the latest third-party snapshot | StockAnalysis.com statistics via S&P Global Market Intelligence | August 2, 2026 |
| Net debt and leverage | Net debt excluding capitalized lease obligations of MXN 402 billion at the end of June 2026, equal to 1.31 times last-twelve-month EBITDA after leases, inside the 1.2 to 1.5 times target | Q2 2026 earnings call via MarketBeat | July 22, 2026 |
| 2026 capex and capital allocation | Full-year capex on track near $7 billion; H1 2026 capex of MXN 48 billion, MXN 4.6 billion in share buybacks, and MXN 8.4 billion in labor obligations, all covered by cash flow | Q2 2026 earnings call via MarketBeat | July 22, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | Trailing PE 14.91, forward PE 11.05, PS 1.40, PB 3.05, P/FCF 7.73, and dividend yield 2.34% | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Dividend | Annual dividend of about $0.59 per ADR paid semi-annually, with the last ex-dividend date on July 14, 2026 | StockAnalysis.com dividend history | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares and ADR ratio | About 60.05 billion shares outstanding, down 1.85% year over year; each B-share ADS represents 20 B shares | StockAnalysis.com share statistics and América Móvil Form 20-F | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy with an average 12-month price target of $29.31 across 14 analysts, ranging from $20.80 to $35.00 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and analyst ratings | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst rating mix, July 2026 | 7 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 5 Hold, and 1 Sell out of 14 analysts | StockAnalysis.com forecast recommendation trends | August 2, 2026 |
| Recent analyst price targets | Scotiabank lowered to $21.00 on July 23, New Street raised to $35.00, Goldman Sachs at $32.00, and J.P. Morgan at $30.00 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and TipRanks | August 2, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 50-day moving average $26.00, 200-day moving average $24.05, RSI 41.34, and 20-day average volume of about 1.6 million ADRs | StockAnalysis.com and Barchart technical snapshots | August 2, 2026 |
| 52-week range and beta | 52-week range of $17.90 to $28.46, a 39.75% 52-week gain, and a 5-year beta of 0.22 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Short interest | About 6.73 million shares short, 0.01% of shares outstanding, and about 5.46 days to cover | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Regulatory and competitive context | A final MXN 1.3 billion Telnor fine was called disproportional, and management noted more promotional competition in Brazil while keeping a selective fiber-focused acquisition strategy | Q2 2026 earnings call via MarketBeat | July 22, 2026 |
This AMX AI stock analysis page is an informational tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available data as of August 2, 2026, may be incomplete, and can be wrong if new filings, market prices, company events, currency moves, regulation, or macro conditions change.
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